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JC-TRADER

Биржевые игры. Системные Спекуляции.


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Британский Фунт: Фигура Чашка С Ручкой
jc_trader
Я, правда, уже только что купил по текущей цене на опережение. Так сказать, на шаг впереди :)

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Нет

Продавать?

Теоретически, да, так как я статистически бываю прав только в сорока случаях из ста. Поэтому, действительно, больше вероятность вниз до моего стопа 1,5830 :)

да, и лучше даже евро

Уже двое за "продавать" против одного за "покупать". Большинство бывает неправо -- это обнадеживает :)

мдааа, эдак если и дальше пойдет, мы с вами оба окажемся правы...

Не честно опережать коллег трейдеров))))))

Фунта много -- на всех хватит :)

)) не так уж и много. вот "фунта лиха" много

Все правильно

То что на картинке,еще не созрело.Там в одной точке и туда и сюда,разница станет видна чуть позже.

Ну при созревании то любой заработает. А вот сейчас попробуйте :)

Это просто лишний стоп.

Лет 5 назад я думал -- вот когда будет стопроцентно ясная ситуация, зайду всем капиталом со всеми плечами -- до сих пор жду :)

Но до выборов в Конгресс я бы не стал... Привет О'Нилу и его провалам на КенСлим

http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:uWrqNNZfl5oJ:phorums.com.au/archive/index.php/t-167239.html+t-167239+fund&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=il

Если проблемы с английским, краткое содержание:

с 1969 года по 1974 S&P500 упал на 18%, ОНил за тот же период времени "заработал" минус 53%. Второй фонд с 92 по 94 год дал +3%, в то время как S&P500 прибавил 17%. Повторю, это данные об управлении живыми деньгами, а не бумажные результаты стратегии CANSLIM.

The following article is a quote from a blog by Weston Wellington, vice
president of Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA).

A lot gets said about O'Neil in newsgroups and he has many devoted
fans, particularly among technical analysts where he's seen as
something of a champion, he's about as close as technical analysts have
come to having a prominent success story to look up to, to rub into the
faces of those damn arrogant value investors who keep pointing out that
while there are scores of extremely successful fundamental analysts,
chartists don't seem to have a hero of their own, nor indeed any real
evidence that technical analysis is anything other than smoke and
mirrors and self deception.

Anyway, without further editorialising from me, here is Weston's
commentary on O'Neil and a recent article on him.

Travis
www.travismorien.com

---------------------------------

A Winning Stock Picking System?

William J. O'Neil, publisher of Investor's Business Daily, was the
subject of a recent article appearing in the Los Angeles Times. O'Neil
is the author of How to Make Money in Stocks . . . in Good Times or Bad
and is held in high regard in some circles for his technical
stock-trading system known by its acronym CANSLIM. O'Neil markets the
system to aspiring traders through a series of instructional seminars,
and the strategy is based on seven characteristics that can allegedly
be used to identify the best-performing stocks in advance:

Current quarterly earnings.
Annual earnings.
New products or services.
Supply and demand.
Leading company in a leading industry.
Institutional ownership.
Market direction.

Enthusiasts of the CANSLIM approach often claim extraordinary results
from the strategy, and the article cites a claim from O'Neil that the
system returned 860% from 1998 through 2005, a time when total return
from S&P 500 Index® was 45.4%.

Much of the article is devoted to the author's efforts to put the
CANSLIM system to work on his personal investment portfolio, with
unsatisfying results. Unfortunately, he did not dig much deeper in an
effort to substantiate the claims of investment success often made for
the approach.

If the CANSLIM system is so successful at identifying winning stocks,
it seems unlikely to remain a secret. Why hasn't a money manager or
mutual fund adopted this approach? Some have. According to a Barron's
article appearing in 1994, O'Neil himself organized a mutual fund in
the 1960s to apply the CANSLIM strategy, but assets shriveled in the
difficult markets of the early 1970s and O'Neil sold out. Total return
for O'Neil Fund from January 1969 through December 1974 was -53.6%,
compared to -18.75% for the S&P 500® Index.

More recently, the New USA mutual fund was launched in April 1992, with
David Ryan as portfolio manager. According to the Barron's article,
Ryan spent most of his professional career under O'Neil's guidance and
was the winner of a stock-picking contest known as the US Investing
Championship for 1985, 1986, and 1987. We have been unable to find
performance data on New USA, but data cited by Barron's suggested the
fund had a total return of 3% from April 1992 through June 30, 1994
compared to 17.4% for the S&P 500® Index.

First USA no longer appears in the Morningstar database and we are
uncertain whether it was liquidated or merged into another fund.
Whatever the merits of the CANSLIM trading system may be, the mutual
fund evidence suggests that using it to achieve abnormal profits is
harder than it looks.

Да я знаю -- фиговая у Нила система. Я тоже в прошлом году пытался покупать акции из инвесторс.ком -- ничего хорошего не вышло. :)
За информацию о его слитых фондах спасибо, этого не знал.

(Удалённый комментарий)
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